Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 2.589144 3.092956 3.642316 4.282557 5.004851 5.791167 6.708489
2026-02-01 1.766845 2.394121 3.141305 4.083695 5.226719 6.554356 8.198346
2026-02-08 1.236526 1.901198 2.763923 3.934432 5.447829 7.304868 9.719298
2026-02-15 0.891280 1.556097 2.494318 3.856528 5.720977 8.119410 11.367282
2026-02-22 0.710993 1.393831 2.431459 4.026944 6.314572 9.369604 13.638935
2026-03-01 0.536645 1.192607 2.269831 4.024735 6.657612 10.301002 15.543957
2026-03-08 0.366683 0.945780 1.985234 3.789446 6.629655 10.707146 16.751588
2026-03-15 0.254873 0.767265 1.772274 3.625345 6.674642 11.199326 18.084471
2026-03-22 0.213792 0.722217 1.785151 3.828807 7.293694 12.548505 20.681994
2026-03-29 0.190004 0.709189 1.854451 4.133033 8.089799 14.194922 23.771106
2026-04-05 0.163586 0.679887 1.884675 4.366918 8.782066 15.711749 26.724128
2026-04-12 0.126577 0.605626 1.806020 4.387775 9.114736 16.685904 28.903976
2026-04-19 0.087717 0.505836 1.652572 4.251895 9.178193 17.258816 30.533479
2026-04-26 0.060488 0.426120 1.525347 4.148151 9.285057 17.901030 32.290225
2026-05-03 0.040960 0.359263 1.411415 4.053110 9.394377 18.545355 34.066972
2026-05-10 0.028068 0.308860 1.326698 4.007049 9.586486 19.329947 36.086445
2026-05-17 0.023179 0.296969 1.349379 4.203563 10.250570 20.932151 39.453474
2026-05-24 0.016225 0.262757 1.295040 4.214062 10.552575 21.927545 41.874573
2026-05-31 0.008602 0.205896 1.147311 3.977749 10.344702 22.028849 42.843441
2026-06-07 0.004477 0.165069 1.036430 3.811786 10.259868 22.333403 44.145718
2026-06-14 0.003658 0.162609 1.070181 4.025819 10.977252 24.091703 47.908540
2026-06-21 0.003397 0.168695 1.140170 4.343496 11.928814 26.298862 52.471139
2026-06-28 0.002840 0.167946 1.181723 4.587409 12.733848 28.262503 56.665520